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Mejia Wins NJ-11 by 20 Points on Essex County Dominance; Morris County Remains Tight as November Rematch Looms

Mejia Wins NJ-11 by 20 Points on Essex County Dominance; Morris County Remains Tight as November Rematch Looms


MORRISTOWN—Democrat Analilia Mejia, a former union organizer who served as Bernie Sanders' 2020 National Political Director, has defeated Republican Joe Hathaway by approximately 20 percentage points in Wednesday's special election for New Jersey's 11th Congressional District. Mejia rode to victory on a 40-plus-point margin in Essex County, while narrowly winning Republican-leaning Morris County by less than 8 points in preliminary results.


Associated Press called the race for Mejia at 8:07 PM EDT Wednesday. Preliminary results per Decision Desk HQ showed Mejia with 77,620 votes (59.6%) to Hathaway's 52,122 (40.0%), with independent Alan Bond capturing 596 votes. 


But the race isn't over, as the election for a full two-year House term is only a few months away. Mejia and Hathaway now pivot toward their respective June 2 primaries and potential November rematch.


The Vote Breakdown

Preliminary results revealed a stark geographical divide. In Essex County, Mejia dominated with 70.9% (33,548 votes) to Hathaway's 28.5% (13,482), while independent Alan Bond captured 0.6% (263). Morris County presented a dramatically different landscape: Mejia eked out victory with just 53.7% (38,587 votes) versus Hathaway's 45.9% (33,028), with Bond at 0.4% (278).  Republicans have historically won this county by double digits, indicating a seismic shift in voting trends. The victory continues Democratic expansion into the county following the example of Governor Mikie Sherrill, who used to serve the 11th District. 


Passaic County voters in the 11th District narrowly rejected Mejia, delivering 50.3% (5,612 votes) to Hathaway versus 49.2% (5,485) for Mejia, with Bond at 0.5% (55). This section of Passaic County, which includes Little Falls, Totowa, and parts of Wayne, has not supported a Democrat in any election since Sherrill's 2018 campaign for the House. Its continued Republican lean, despite comprising only 8.5% of the district's population, provides Republicans a strategic anchor for November.


The geographical distribution reflects the district's demographic and ideological polarization: Essex County's progressive urban and suburban communities versus Morris County's moderate suburbs versus Passaic's conservative enclaves. Mejia's ability to win Morris County, even narrowly, proved decisive given that the county represents approximately 55% of the district's electorate.


Campaign Narratives

Mejia framed her victory as vindication of progressive populism over centrist incrementalism. In her victory speech at Montclair Art Museum, she celebrated a win for the district's working class. 

"It is not radical to say that a worker who toils every day cannot make ends meet, that they deserve justice, that they deserve higher wages,” Mejia said. "That is not radical, that is good conscience. That is a good economy." 


She explicitly linked Hathaway with billionaire influence, stating that "true radicals" are those "who subvert the constitution and act with impunity." She dismissed Hathaway’s previous criticisms of her and her positions, calling him a "little boy" unfit for national office.


Hathaway congratulated Mejia but positioned the contest as merely round one. "While the result tonight is not what we hoped for, our work is only just beginning," he stated. "I still believe this district is looking for balanced, pragmatic leadership, not the kind of far-left policies embraced by Ms. Mejia. I am looking forward to the rematch in November, when more voices will be heard and the full electorate will have its say."


The rhetorical clash foreshadows the June primary dynamic. Hathaway's campaign emphasized affordability, public safety, and "accountable government." Those themes are calibrated for Morris County's moderate Republicans and independent voters, who sided with Chris Christie in past cycles before shifting towards Democratic candidates in recent years. Mejia's coalition relied on mobilizing her progressive base in Essex, as well as on union support from the AFL-CIO and SEIU locals and national progressive infrastructure, including a Working Families Party endorsement.


The November Stakes

The victory extends Democratic control of the district that Sherrill first won in 2018 and defended in 2020, 2022, and 2024. Sherrill's 2024 margin of 57-42 over Republican Joseph Belnome demonstrated the district's Democratic consolidation under moderate leadership. Mejia's 60-40 performance suggests progressive messaging did not alienate swing voters, despite Republican attempts to brand her as outside the mainstream.


Both candidates advance to the June 2 primary, where Mejia faces potential Democratic challengers including former Lieutenant Governor Tahesha Way and potentially LeRoy Jones Jr. if the local Democratic Party establishment attempts to consolidate behind an alternative. 


Hathaway's uncontested Republican primary in February suggests party unity, though Donald Trump's looming presence in the November general could activate both progressive mobilization and conservative turnout in unpredictable ratios.


United Democracy Project, the pro-Israel super PAC that spent over 2 million opposing Tom Malinowski in the February primary, signaled intentions to intervene in the June Democratic primary against Mejia. Their involvement potentially opens a second front that could deplete Mejia's resources before the general, though no ads have been published at time of writing. Meanwhile, her support from Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and the Working Families Party provides a fundraising and volunteer infrastructure independent of Democratic Party establishment channels.


Hathaway's path to November viability requires expanding his Morris County margin to double digits while closing the Essex County gap to under 30 points, a reversal of current trends that would require either significant Mejia missteps or external events shifting suburban voter priorities. His campaign's emphasis on "balanced, pragmatic leadership" targets precisely the voters who delivered Sherrill her previous margins, but who also showed willingness to support a progressive alternative. With Mejia now the technical incumbent and only about six months to the next election, Hathaway faces long odds.


The NJ-11 result narrows the Republican House majority to three seats, intensifying pressure on Speaker Mike Johnson to manage his caucus. It also provides Democrats with a psychological boost heading into midterm primaries in June. 


For New Jersey politics, the outcome validates Essex County's progressive organizational capacity. It also raises questions about whether Morris County's Republican tradition has permanently eroded, or merely awaits favorable conditions to reassert itself. 


Related Articles

NJ-11 Special Election Preview: Mejia Enters as Heavy Favorite in Democratic Stronghold

Grassroots Push and Outside Spending Fuel Mejia Upset in NJ-11 Primary

The Malinowski “Red Line” & the AIPAC Pivot


Sources

• Roger Jones, NorthJersey.com, "Analilia Mejia wins special election for NJ's 11th Congressional District" (April 16, 2026)


• Matthew Fleischer, Politico, "Democrat wins special House election in New Jersey, narrowing GOP majority" (April 16, 2026)


• Steve Strunsky, NJ.com, "Democrat Mejia beats Republican Hathaway in race for N.J.'s 11th Congressional District" (April 16, 2026)


• Joe Caiazzo, Insider NJ, "Analilia Mejia Declares Victory in NJ-11 Special Election" (April 16, 2026)


• Joe Caiazzo, Insider NJ, "Joe Hathaway Declares Victory in Republican Primary for NJ-11" (February 5, 2026)


• Elena Schneider and Andrea Shalal, Politico, "Mejia Projected Winner in NJ Special Election" (April 16, 2026)


• Gabriella Ferrigine, New Jersey Monitor, "Democrat Mejia Wins NJ-11 Special Election" (April 16, 2026)


• Steve Strunsky, NJ.com, "Democrat Mejia Beats Hathaway in Race for N.J.'s 11th Congressional District" (April 16, 2026)


• Matthew Fleischer, Politico, "Democrat Wins Special House Election in New Jersey" (April 16, 2026)


• Steve Strunsky, NJ.com, "Who Won N.J. Special Election for House Seat?" (April 17, 2026)


• Roger Jones, NorthJersey.com, "Mejia's Path to Victory in NJ-11 Special Election" (April 16, 2026)


• Elena Schneider, Politico, "Trump Shrinks House GOP Majority With Resignation" (April 14, 2026)